Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s  assault on Tigray came after he had forged the closest relationship with Eritrea’s President Isaias Afwerki. The two men have been in constant contact since this began with PM Abiy’s historic visit to Asmara in July 2018.

In just over two years the two leaders have made nine official visits to each other’s capitals (or gone on joint delegations to other states – Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Other meetings have been held by senior officials.

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Behind the scenes preparations

It should not be forgotten that many played a part in ending years of ‘no-war, no-peace’ hostility between Ethiopia and Eritrea that followed the 1998-2000 border war between the two nations, costing some 100,000 lives.

Much of the groundwork was done by the United States, with Donald Yamamoto playing a critical role behind the scenes.

This culminated in visits to Addis Ababa and Asmara by Yamamoto – among the US’s most experienced African experts. What he achieved has never fully been revealed, but it is clear that Yamamoto (along with other outsiders) did a great deal to help remove obstacles.

In addition to the visits described below there were a series of regional trips by President Isaias and his officials which would have been important in shaping this relationship.

Isaias – Abiy: timeline of a relationship

5 June 2018: Ethiopia’s governing coalition announced it will fully accept and implement the peace deal that ended its border war with Eritrea. It says it will accept the outcome of a 2002 border commission ruling, which awarded disputed territories, including the town of Badme, to Eritrea. This ended a dispute with Eritrea that sparked Africa’s deadliest border war in 1998.

20 June 2018: the Washington Post reported that after the Ethiopian government made the surprise announcement that it was ready to accept a nearly 20-year-old peace deal with Eritrea, President Isaias said it would send a delegation to Ethiopia to discuss the matter. “We will send a delegation to Addis Ababa to gauge current developments directly and in depth as well as to chart out a plan for continuous future action,” he said, according to an official translation of the speech. “The Eritrean people, but also the Ethiopian people, have lost an opportunity of two generations for over half a century,” Afwerki added.

26 June 2018: Eritrean delegation to Addis Ababa including Minister of Foreign Affairs Osman Saleh; PFDJ head of Political Affairs Yemane Gebreab.

8 July 2018: Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed makes an historic visit to the Eritrean capital, Asmara. He receives an ecstatic reception from the public.

14 July 2018: President Isaias responds with a visit to Addis Ababa where he is rapturously received by Prime Minister Abiy. President Isaias declares: “Words cannot express the joy we are feeling now. History is being made as we speak.” President Isaias reopened his country’s embassy in Ethiopia and on 18 July Eritrea and Ethiopia resumed commercial airline flights for the first time in two decades.

24 July 2018: UAE hosts both leaders, lauding their “bold and historic” rapprochement as enhancing prospects for peace and prosperity.

16 September 2018: The leaders of Ethiopia and Eritrea signed a formal peace agreement during a summit in Saudi Arabia.

22 February 2019: An Eritrean delegation led by Eritrean Foreign Minister, Osman Saleh,  made an official visit to Ethiopia.

25 December 2019: President Isaias flew to Addis Ababa for his first meeting with the Ethiopian prime minister since Abiy Ahmed won the Nobel Peace Prize.

27 January 2020: President of Somalia and Prime Minister Abiy meet President Isaias in Asmara. “On the security front, the three leaders formulated a comprehensive plan to combat and neutralize the common threats they face, including terrorism, arms and human trafficking and drug smuggling,” the joint statement read in part.

3 May 2020: President Isaias visits Ethiopia.

18 July 2020: Prime Minister Abiy makes a reciprocal visit to Eritrea. He becomes the first Ethiopian leader to visit Eritrea’s main training base at Sawa, inspecting troops and military equipment.

12 October 2020: President Isaias visited Ethiopia, during which he visited a number of projects, including a hydro-electric dam and coffee plantations. He also went to the Bishoftu air-base – home to the Ethiopian air force. Both leaders took time to see each other’s key military assets ahead of the current conflict.

ርእሰ-ዓንቀጽ ሰዲህኤ

ጉጅለ ህግዲፍ ኣብ ዝተፈላለዩ ግዝያት፡ ብዛዕባ ዝተፈላለዩ ጉዳያት ዝኣተዎ ቃል እንዳዓጸፈ ዝመጸን ብኣኡ ዝቕጽል ዘሎን እዩ። በብእዋኑ ንልኡላውነት ኤርትራ ዘለዎ ትብዓት፡ ሕገመንግስታውን ዲሞክራስያውን ስርዓት ንምትካል ዘለዎ ቅሩብነት፡ ንኤርትራ ብቁጠባ ንምምዕባላ ዘኽእል ፖሊሲ ከም ዘለዎ ኣምሲሉ ደጋጊሙ ክመባጻዕ ጸኒሑ። በብእዋኑ ናይ ህዝቢ ጸገም ከም ዝፈትሕ ንሓንሳብ ናይ ኣዋርሕ ንሓንሳብ ድማ ናይ ዓመታት ቆጸራ ክሕዝ’ውን ይስማዕ። ሕሉፍ ሓሊፉ ኣብ ጥራሕ ጐልጐል ንኤርትራ ኣብ ቀረባ ግዜ ከም ሲንጋፖር ክንገብራ ኢና ክብል ከም ዝጸንሐ እውን ዘይርሳዕ እዩ። ብግብሪ ግና እዚ ኩሉ ተጠሊሙስ፡ ኤርትራ ከምቲ ዝጸናሓቶ ምቕጻልስ ይትረፍ  መሊሳ እያ ዓንያ።

እዚ ጉጅለ ምእንቲ ልኡላውነት ሃገር ከይድፈር ብቐዳማይ ደረጃ ከም ዝሰርሕ ብተደጋጋሚ ቃል ኣትዩ። ነዚ ኣብ ግብሪ ንምውዓል ዘኽእል ብቑዕ ዓቕሚ ሰብ ንምድላብ ብዝብል’ውን፡ ነቲ ደሓር ናብ “ግዱድ ዕስክርናን ባርነትን” ዝማዕበለ ሃገራዊ ኣገልግሎት ኣውጁ፡ ነቲ ሎሚ ናብ ዓብይ ቤት ማእሰርቲ ተቐይሩ ዘሎ፡ መደበር ታዕሊም ሳዋ መስረቱ። ድሒሩ ከኣ ብምስምስ “ልኡላውነት” ምስ ኢትዮጵያ ውግእ ከፊቱ፡ ዓሰርተታት ኣሸሓት ኤርትራውያን መንእሰያት ኣወዲኡ። እዚ ብዙሕ ናይ ውዲት ኣጀንዳታት ዝነበሮ ክነሱ፡ “ጉዳይ ዶብ ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን” ዝተሰየመ ወግእ ምስተወደአ፡ ናብቲ ቅድሚ ውግእ ክኸዶ ዝነበሮ ቤት ፍርዲ ዘሄግ ከይዱ። በቲ ቤት ፍርዲ ከኣ ቀያድን ናይ መወዳእታን ብይን ተዋሂብዎ። ኣብቲ ብይን እታ ውግእ ዝተጀምረላ ባድመ ንኤርትራ ስለ ዝተዋበት፡ ኤርትራ ዝረተዓትሉ መሲሉ ቀሪቡ እምበር፡ ዝኸሰረቶ’ውን ኣለዋ። እንተኾነ ናይ መወዳእታን ቀያድን እንከሎ ኣብቲ እዋኑ ኣይተተግበረን። ኣብቲ ሽዑ እዋን ኢስያስ ኣፈወርቂ ብዘይምትግባር እቲ ብይን ብውሽጡ ሕጉስ ክነሱ፡ ናይ ዘይምትግባሩ ጠንቂ መንግስቲ ኢትዮጵያ ምንባሩ ብምጥቃስ፡ ናይ ኤርትራ ልኡላውነት ሓላይ መሲሉ ክረኤ ፈቲኑ። ብዙሓት ውሽጡ ዘይፈለጡ ግሩሃት ኤርትራውያን ከኣ “እዚ ሰብኣይ ብህይወቱ እንከሎ እዛ ዶብ እንተዘይ ተመልኪታ ደሓር ኣይክንረኻብ ኢና” ክብሉ ይስምዑ ነይሮም።

ኢሳያስን ጉጅለኡን ነዚ ብውሽጦም ዘይኣመንሉ ልኡላውነት ኤርትራ ሸፊጦም፡ ንኹሉ ናይ ህዝብና ሕገመንግስታዊ፡ ዲሞክራስያዊ፡ ቁጠባውን ማሕበራውን ናይ ለውጢ ጠለባት፡ “ብሰንኪ መንግስቲ ኢትዮጵያ ኣብ ናይ ኣይሰላም ኣይውግእ መድረኽ ስለ ዘለና ቀዳምነትና ኣይኮነን” ክብልዎ ጸኒሖም። ህዝብና ከኣ እዚ እውን ከምቲ ናይ ቅድሚ ሕጂ ንመሸፈንን መህደምን ከይከውንኳ ስግኣት እንተነበሮ፡ ንክብሪ እቲ  ብሓያል ህዝባዊ መኸተ ዝመጸ ልኡላውነት ዕንቅፋት ንዘይምዃን ልቡዝልቡ “ሕራይ ክሳብ ኩነታት ዝቕየር ንጽምም” ብዝብል ተጸብይዎ።

እዚ ከምዚሉ እንከሎ፡ ቅድሚ ክልተ ዓመታት ኣብ ኢትዮጵያ መስርሕ ለውጢ ተቐልቂሉ። እቲ ለውጢ ዘምጸአ ሓይሊ ንህዝቢ ኢትዮጵያ ብዛዕባ ብዙሓት ጉዳያት ቃል ኣትዩሉ። እቲ ዝኣተዎ ቃል ኣተግቢርዎዶ ወይስ ከም ኢሳያስ ይጠልሞ ኣሎ፡ ምስ ህዝቢ ኢትዮጵያ ዝጸባጸበሉ ዘሎ እዩ። እቲ ብዶ/ር ኣብይ ኣሕመድ ዝምራሕ ናይ ኢትዮጵያ ለውጢ፡ ኣብቲ ንኤርትራ ዝምልከት “ቀያድን ናይ መወዳእታን ብይን ዶብ ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ብዘይቅድመ-ኩነት ተቐቢለዮ ኣለኹ” ኢሉ። ኣብ መንጎ “ተቐቢለዮ ኣለኹን” “ኣተግቢረዮን” ፍልልይ ስለ ዘሎ’ኳ ብዙሓት ኤርትራውያን ከም ውዱእ ሓቂ እንተዘይወሰድዎ፡ ገለ ወገናትና ግና ንኢስያስን ጉጀለኡን ኣብ ኣጀንዳ ኤርትራዊ ልኡላውነት ዘየለዉ ክንሶም፡ ጉዳይ ዶብ ናብ ሓድሽ ኢሳያስ “ክቃለሰሉ” ዝጸንሐ መድረኽ ከም ዝሰገረ ገይሮም ክወስድዎ ተራእዮም።

ኢሳያስ ሆየ፡ ኣብ ክንዲ “እምበኣር ነቲ ንዝምድናና ናብ ንቡር ምምላስ መሰረት ዝኾነና ጉዳይ ዶብ ናይ መወዳእታ መልክዕ ነትሕዞ” ኣይበለን። ብኣንጻሩ ነቲ ንህዝብና ጀሆ ሒዘሉ ዝጸንሐ ጠንጢኑ፡ ነቲ ገለ መንግስታት “ምስ ኢትዮጵያ ዝምድናኹም ናብ ንቡር ምለሱ” ክብልዎ እንከለዉ፡  “ዶብ ከይተጠረረ ዝምድና ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ናብ ንቡር ይመለስ ምባል ኣሽካዕላል እዩ” ዝብል ዝነበረ ልሳኑ ዓጺፉ፡ “ጉዳይ ዶብ ቀዳምነትና ኣይኮነን” ኢሉ። በዚ ኣየብቀዐን፡ ነቲ ልኡላውነት ኤርትራ ቀዳምነትና ኣይኮነን ዝበሎ ዝያዳ ንምድማቕ፡ “ነቲ ናይ 30 ዓመታት ቃልስና ምእንቲ ናጽነት ኣብ ትርጉም ዘየብሉ ዝባኸነ ግዜ፡ ነቲ ኣብቲ ምእንቲ ልኡላውነት ዝተኻየደ ዳሕረዋይ ውግእ ዝተኸፈለ ውጋ ኣይከሰርናን፡ ንኤርትራዊ ሃገርነት ክሒዱ ከኣ ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ክልተ ሃገራትን ህዝብታትን ዝብሉ ነቲ ሓቅን ታሪኽን ዘይፈልጡ እዮም” ኢሉ። እዚ ከኣ ናይቶም ብተኸታታሊ ክፍጽሞም ዝጸንሐ ጥልመታት መቐጸልታን ዝለዓለን እዩ።

እዚ ኹሉ ምዕልባጥን ሽንኮለልን ዘብረሃልና ሓቂ፡ ዲክታቶር ኢስያስ ንጉዳይ ልኡላውነት ከም መቃመሚ ንካልእ ውዲታቱ ዝጥቀመሉ ተዘይኮይኑ፡ ከም ነብሱ ዝኸኣለ ናይ ኤርትራን ህዝባን ናይ ህልውና ዓንዲ ዘይወስዶ ምዃኑ እዩ። ኢሳያስ ንጉዳይ ዶብ ዘገድሶ ነይሩ እንተዝኸውን፡ ምስቲ “ብይን ዶብ ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ብዘይቅድመ-ኩነት ተቐቢለዮ ኣለኹ” ዝበለ መራሒ ኢትዮጵያ ቀዳማይ ሚኒስተር ኣብይ ኣሕመድ ክተሓሳሰብን ኣትሪሩ ሒዙ ከተግብርን መተገብኦ። ኣብቲ መስርሕ ጉዳይ ዶብ ከተግብር ቅሩብ ዘይኮነ ኢትዮጵያዊ ወገን እንተኣጋጢሙ ናይ ምውጋኑ ሓላፍነት ናይ መንግስቲ ቀዳማይ ሚኒስተር ኣብይ መኾነ። ኢሳያስ ግና ካብዚ ሓሊፉ፡ እቲ ጉዳይ ናይ ምትግባሩ ድሌት ስለ ዘይነበሮ ነቲ መስርሕ ናብ ሕንፍሽፍሽ ንምእታዉ ኣብ ዘይጉዳዩ ኣትዩ “እቲ ጸወታ ተወዲኡ (game is over ) ብዝብል ዓምጣሪ ኣተሓሳስባ ንጉዳይ ዶብ ምስ ሕዱር ቅርሕቱ ደዋዊሱ ከም ዘይትግበር ገይርዎ።

ኣብዚ ሕጂ እዋን ኣብ ኢትዮጵያ እቶም ሰብ ዋኒን ኢትዮጵያውያን’ውን እንታይ ዓይነት ኢሎም ከም  ዝስይምዎ ዘጸገሞም ኣብ መንጎ  ፈደራላዊ መንግስትን ክልላዊ መንግስቲ ትግራይን ሓደገኛ ውግእ ዝተኸፍተሉ ኩነታት ንርከብ ኣለና። ኢሳያስ ምዝራግ ሰላምን ኣብ ውግእን ወረ ውግእ ምንባርን ምርጭኡ ስለ ዝኾነ፡ ናይቲ ውግእ ተዋሳኣይ እዩ። መሰረታዊ መንቀሊ ተሳትፋኡ፡ ልኡላውነት ኤርትራን ረብሓ ህዝባን ኣገዲስዎ ዘይኮነ፡ ምስ መራሕቲ ክልላዊ መንግስቲ ትግራይ ዝጸንሖ ቂምን ቅርሕንትን እዩ።  ሸቶኡ ከኣ ሓንሳብ ምስ እዚ ሓንሳብ ድማ ምስቲ እናሻረወ፡ ኣብ ዘይጉዳዩ ብምእታው ሕነ ንምፍዳይን ሓዊ ንምእጓድን እዩ። እቲ ካልእ  ጎብለል ናይ ዞናና ናይ ምዃን ዘይሰምረሉ ሕዱር ሕልሙ’ውን ካብዚ ፈሊኻ ዝረአ ኣይኮነን።  

 እዚ ዕሉል ዲክታተር  ከምስል እታ ናይ ቅድም መጻወቲቱ ካርድ “ጉዳይ ዶብ” ሒዙ ናብዚ ኣብ ኢትዮጵያ ተኣጒዱ ዘሎ ውግእ ክኣቱ ይዳሎ ከም ዘሎ፡ ብዙሓት ወገናት ምልክታት ይህቡ ኣለዉ።  ከምቲ ግቡእ ጉዳይ ዶብ ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን፡ ነብሱ ክኢሉ፡ ብኣፍልጦን ተሳትፎን ናይቲ ዝበየነ ዓለም ለኻዊ ትካል፡ ክትግበር ዝግበኦ እምበር፡ ምስ ውግእ ሕድሕድ ኢትዮጵያ ዝደባለቕ ኣይኮነን። ብመንጽርቲ ናይዚ ዝሓለፈ ክልተ ዓመታት መስርሕ ዝምድናኡ ምስ መራሒ ኢትዮጵያ፡ ኢስያስ ንኤርትራዊ ሉኡላዊነትን ምምልካት ዶብን  ንመዳህለሊ እምበር፡ ካብ ልቡ ዝግደሰላ’ዩ ምባል መጐታዊ ኣይኮነን። ኢስያስ ኣብ ዘይጉዳዩ ኣትዩ ኣእሾኽ ኣንዳዘረአ ዕድመ ስልጣኑ ዘናውሕ እምበር ጉዳይ ሃገርን ህዝብን ጉዳዩ ኣይኮነን። ስለዚ መላእ ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ብሓድነት ከምቲ “ክሰርቀኒ ዝረኣኹዎ፡ ክመልሰለይ ኣይኣምኖን” ዝበሃል፡ ኣንጻርዚ ህዝቢ ጠሊሙ መንገዱ ዝመረጸ ጠላም ጉጅለ ህግዲፍ ክትብገስን፡ ኣብ ከባቢና ዝለዓል ውግእ ንረብሓኻ ስለዘይኮነ፡ ንዕርቅን ሰላምን ክትስለፍን ኣበርክቶኻ ከተዛይድን ምሕጽንታና’ዩ። 

Source: US Institute of Peace

Thursday, November 5, 2020

US Institute of Peace

As members of the bipartisan senior study group on peace and security in the Red Sea arena, we are watching with grave concern the situation in Ethiopia. While many of the facts remain unclear, the risks of escalation are certain: Intrastate or interstate conflict would be catastrophic for Ethiopia’s people and for the region and would pose a direct threat to international peace and security. The acceleration of polarization amid violent conflict would also mark the death knell for the country’s nascent reform effort that began two years ago and the promise of a democratic transition that it heralded.As we cautioned in the study group’s Final Report and Recommendations released on October 29, the fragmentation of Ethiopia would be the largest state collapse in modern history. Ethiopia is five times the size of pre-war Syria by population, and its breakdown would lead to mass interethnic and interreligious conflict; a dangerous vulnerability to exploitation by extremists; an acceleration of illicit trafficking, including of arms; and a humanitarian and security crisis at the crossroads of Africa and the Middle East on a scale that would overshadow any existing conflict in the region, including Yemen. As Ethiopia is currently the leading Troop Contributing Country to the United Nations and the African Union peacekeeping missions in Sudan, South Sudan and Somalia, its collapse would also significantly impact the efforts by both to mitigate and resolve others conflicts in the Horn of Africa.However severe the events of the last 48 hours and the preceding violence in multiple parts of the country may be, a wider war is not inevitable, nor is it too late to prevent one if Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy and Ethiopia’s federal states exercise responsible leadership. To do so, they must take immediate, visible steps to defuse the crisis and signal to the Ethiopian public a commitment to de-escalation. These steps should include a cessation of military operations and the launch of an inclusive political dialogue that is credible to the Ethiopian people and lays the groundwork for free and fair elections. Neither will be possible while many of the country’s most prominent political leaders remain in prison. In addition, the closing of political space and internet and communication blackouts must be reversed while intercommunal violence and the rise of incitement and hate speech are addressed.

At this crucial inflection point, the United States, its allies and partners in Europe and in the region, the members of the U.N. Security Council and the relevant multilateral organizations, including the African Union and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, must speak with one voice in promoting de-escalation on this basis. The United States should support initiatives by Ethiopian religious and civil society leaders to reach a peaceful resolution of the crisis. To reinforce these efforts, the United States, including Congress, should make clear that any change by force or fiat either to Ethiopia’s constitutional order or to its internal or external borders will not be recognized, in line with the African Union’s standards. The United States must also signal that it will hold accountable those responsible for escalation, including any foreign states that exacerbate tensions or provide material support to any of the parties to the conflict. And Ethiopian leaders should refrain from attempting to draw their neighbors into their domestic dispute. Finally, as recommended at length in our recent report, U.S. development and humanitarian assistance should be anchored in a commitment to promoting inclusive, legitimate governance.

Ambassador Johnnie Carson
Senior Advisor to the President, United States Institute of Peace
Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs

Ambassador Wendy Chamberlin
President Emeritus, Middle East Institute
Former Deputy U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees
Former USAID Assistant Administrator for Asia-Near East

Ambassador Chester Crocker
James R. Schlesinger Professor of Strategic Studies, Georgetown University
Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs

Ambassador Eric Edelman
Roger Hertog Distinguished Practitioner-in-Residence, School for Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
Former U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy
Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey

Ambassador Jeffrey Feltman
Visiting Fellow, Brookings Institution
Senior Fellow, U.N. Foundation
Former U.N. Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs
Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs

Ambassador Michelle Gavin
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
Former Senior Director for Africa, U.S. National Security Council
Former U.S. Ambassador to Botswana

Nancy Lindborg
President and CEO, David and Lucile Packard Foundation
Former President, United States Institute of Peace
Former USAID Assistant Administrator for Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance

Andrew Natsios
Executive Professor, Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University Former Administrator of USAID
Former Presidential Special Envoy for Sudan

General Joseph L. Votel
President and CEO, Business Executives for National Security
Former Commander of U.S. Special Operations Command and U.S. Central Command

NOVEMBER 8, 2020  ETHIOPIANEWS

Source: New York Times

A senior United Nations official said it had become extremely difficult to travel inside Tigray, forcing the organization to suspend food distributions to vast camps along the border with Eritrea that house thousands of refugees.
 
Some humanitarian workers were stuck outside the regional capital, Mekelle, as they waited for clearance to travel from Tigray, said the official, who spoke anonymously because he was not authorized to speak publicly.
 
Ann Encontre, head of the U.N. refugee agency’s branch in Ethiopia, said operations to assist asylum seekers had been badly affected in Tigray. “You can’t go in and out of the region, and the air traffic has stopped,” she said.
 
The government says its operation is targeted at Tigray’s leaders and not ordinary citizens.

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ONE COMMENT

  1. I think their is things you have to check rather than depending such ordinary talking. I have seen trusted TV show while my peoples around their talking things going like respecting Tgrian people’s! from this I want to conclude every things are going well only targeting which had been said “Banda” who is the responsible for such war and damage I said this I have been lookingthe petance while this team is doing some damage so many part of the country targating collapsing the bigining of democratization in Ethiopia.

Saturday, 07 November 2020 20:31

Radio Dimtsi Harnnet Sweden 07.11.2020

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Saturday, 07 November 2020 03:09

ESSU AND ABICHU ARE PLAYING WITH FIRE

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The reckless Isaias and the light - weight Abiy are crafting some kind of a plan with a sinister motive to rick havoc in the region where instability is already the daily currency. whatever the two amigos are conniving to do,  the Eritrean people may be trapped   in bloodshed spilled out from the anticipated Ethiopian civil war being incited by the war lord, Isaias Afeworki and his willing accomplice, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. The   Eritrean people gave  its all in the 30 year war for independence as a result of which thousands of its sons and daughters were fallen. Even though no war is justifiable at any time the suffering of our people in that period of struggle can be said it was legitimate because there was a noble cause behind the pain. Other wars fought throughout the Horn of Africa and beyond were illegal. The sad part is even after independence the people never got a breathing space much less to be rewarded with a democratic administration which was well earned. The suffering never ceased anyway.

At the time when Eritrean mothers just came fresh out of tears, Isaias opened unprovoked hostilities with Ethiopia (1998 - 2000) on one hand to tighten his grip on Eritrea by coming out victorious (in his own delusional thinking) and on the other to feed his insatiable greed for power or ambition beyond Eritrea. Anyway he didn’t think twice, he went on with his disastrous plan and sent our boys and girls underfed and under equipped into the merciless fire line. The   outcome of these adventurous provocations were quite predictable. Well over the figure Isaias admitted (19,000) of our   young lives were snuffed for no reason or rhyme. Those who were wounded are at least twice of the dead. Think about the continuously grieving Eritrean families. What is even harder to grasp is that the guy never accepts responsibility nor does he show any remorse for the devastation of lives and property which he alone caused by pushing our kids into the “Bademe” war that should have never been fought in the first place.

Throughout the years of his life in the struggle for freedom, Isaias had a parallel agenda for Eritrea. On the surface he used to act like he was for independence but in his heart he never wished to see a sovereign Eritrea. He showed this attitude way before the victory through his secretive meetings with the enemy at different times and places. Yet this treason was tolerated by his inner circle. In fact he used to consider the EPLF as his own private organization and this too was tolerated by a larger circle inside EPLF. After the joint forces of EPLF and TPLF pushed ELF out of the arena, Isaias got his unchecked freedom to do whatever he wished to do. And so the absence of Jebha in the arena gave him more latitude to the extent that he began to feel he owned the whole country. Consequently, he lost any accountability and transparency to the structures of the organization he eventually led to the sunset despite all the blood - letting and martyrdom of the brave fighters.

At last when Isaias made certain that there is no single soul in Eritrea who has the mendacity to question or challenge his actions, he brought his hidden dream out on the surface for everyone to know. Besides the lease or sale of the southern tip of the Red Sea (Assab) area to the oil sheiks, his first show down was his flight to Addis Ababa where he signed a bilateral agreement with prime minister Abiy Ahmed to deliver him the sovereign country of Eritrea. Imagine the arrogance of the dictator, all this was taking place without the consent of the owners of the country, Eritrean people that is. At this point those who didn’t know who Isaias   was and those who were only suspicious of him, now you know we had an undercover president who was spying for Ethiopia against our country. Admittedly, he was waiting for a convenient time to merge the country to his homeland, Ethiopia. Indeed, he did it at the time when Eritrea reached at her lowest point. In the height of his arrogance, the dictator said in Addis:  Ethiopia and Eritrea are one country, those who think otherwise do not understand history. Among other things he also shamelessly added that the liberation war of Eritrea against Ethiopia was a meaningless endeavor. One cannot find enough words to condemn his betrayal to the people and the country of Eritrea. 

Up to this date the two leaders continue their undiplomatic shuttle between Addis and Asmara in the hope of finalizing the handing over of Eritrea to Ethiopia. In the process however, they were well aware that they have a common enemy in Tigray which both of whom agree to either diminish or wipe them out militarily to realize their dreams. As long as the Weyane remains tall and unyielding,  the amigos cannot freely shake and move the country as they wish without often looking to their shoulders. Right now, we are all witnessing prime minister Abiy is moving and shuffling army command   centers from one area to the other in his effort to strike at Weyane positions. Do not also forget that Abiy is greatly depending on the promise of Isaias that he would simultaneously put pressure on the Weyane points from the northern flank so that the Tigrayans would in the end be sandwiched between the two lawless bandits who deserve to appear in the International Court for genocide in Eritrea and Ethiopia. 

Regardless of the outcome of their planned invasion of Tigray, the agenda of recolonizing Eritrea is alive and well. Read the opinions of the experts of the horn region like Martin Plaut and other Eritrean analysts on the topic. They all warn that occupation of Eritrea is a gathering danger waiting to happen. Since the faith of our country fell in the hands of Isaias and his co-conspirators, is there anything the opposition can do at this time to rescue Eritrea from the power crazed day - light hyenas (shulul Akerit) led by the arch salesman, Mr. Afeworki before it is too late? In my humble opinion yes, the opposition can do a plenty good by conducting one of a kind intensive diplomatic campaign to let the world know that Ethiopians are about to commit a crime over a sovereign people and country of Eritrea by invading their country and annex it to Ethiopia. Why wouldn’t   they when such a rare opportunity presents itself to them. From here on the future of Eritreans is facing humiliation and pain in the hands of our neighbors but For Isaias, it will be a heroic home coming with a priceless bounty for Ethiopia. 

Suggestion: Essentially the opposition is working hard to bring the aimlessly scattered organizations at least one step closer to each other. In the meantime however, considering the urgency of the dire conditions in Eritrea the opposition should and must form a special team to lobby the UN, EU, AU and other relevant countries to stop the imminent danger being weaved by Isaias and negus Abiy. I would rather not go into the technicalities or details of the team, nevertheless the group must be composed of experts in diplomacy and .skilled in languages. Please do not postpone this because once Ethiopia occupies our country, do not expect the world will be shocked; the super powers, African leaders, the Arabs and Israel will not condemn, sanction or force Ethiopia to withdraw from Eritrea. This, because (a) they hate the guts of Isaias, (b) they all believe Ethiopia deserves access to the sea, (c) they see there is nothing wrong with being united, after all it is right that works it is might. 

P.S. Do not discount the first part of this piece as simply rehashing the past. We have to own the bad and not so bad, it is our history and we have to always remember it and yes we have to rehash it.

The second part is the tragedy being predicated upon our sovereign state by Isaias  and his yes men. It was not written out of fear or paranoia, it is a real danger coming which all of us should take seriously. Who among us is not convinced that Isaias and Abiy are playing with fire, may be those who believe Isaias   can do no wrong? Let’s hope the big hole he is digging for us may be his grave. 

*Unfortunately after I finished this piece the war between Tigray and Ethiopia flared up immediately. However, I decided to go ahead and let it be posted.

 

By Asfaha Woldemichael

Source: Al Jazeera

Authorities in Tigray say jets bombed locations around capital after country’s deputy army chief said Ethiopia ‘entered into unexpected war’.

Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September, when Tigray held regional elections in defiance of the federal government [File: Eduardo Soteras/AFP]
Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September, when Tigray held regional elections in defiance of the federal government [File: Eduardo Soteras/AFP]

Ethiopia’s Tigray region asserts that fighter jets have bombed locations around its capital, Mekele, aiming to force the region “into submission”, while Ethiopia’s army says it has been forced into an “unexpected and aimless war”.

The Tigray allegation was read out Thursday evening on the regional broadcaster. Ethiopia’s government has not commented on it.

Earlier, Ethiopia mobilised for war in the northern Tigray region, dashing international hopes of averting a conflict between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the powerful ethnic faction that led the ruling coalition for decades.

On Thursday, the deputy army chief said the “country has entered into unexpected war” after Ethiopia’s lower house of parliament approved unanimously a six-month state of emergency in the region which is ruled by the opposition Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF).

“Our country has entered into a war that it did not want. This war is a shameful war. It does not have a point. The people of Tigray and its youth and its security forces should not die for this pointless war. Ethiopia is their country,” the deputy chief of the army, Birhanu Jula, said on state television, adding that troops were being mustered from around the country and dispatched to Tigray.

“The war will not come to the centre, it will end there [in Tigray].”

Communications remained cut off in Tigray after services disappeared at just around the time Abiy’s office first announced the attack and military action on Wednesday.

The communication blackout has challenged efforts to verify the Ethiopian federal government’s account of events.

A humanitarian source said shelling and shooting had been heard in the region since the early hours of Thursday, and nearly two dozen soldiers had been treated at a clinic near the border with the Amhara region.

Another source told The Associated Press news agency that the Tigray capital, Mekele, appeared calm on Thursday morning but skirmishes took place elsewhere.

Tigray regional president, Debretsion Gebremichael, earlier said its forces had foiled a plan by the federal troops to use artillery and arms stationed there to attack the region.

“In the regions around Tigray, there is a massing of military forces. I stated that they have decided to go to war and we should all prepare to foil it. This is our proclamation, so let it be clear,” he said.

“There is no reason for this because the people of Tigray held an election. There was nothing new that happened. This is the action of a self-loving government that is trying to resolve, albeit though not possible, political differences through force, weapons, and war. That is why they have declared war on the people of Tigray.”

Escalating tensions

Federal troops and regional forces clashed in Tigray on Wednesday after Abiy ordered a response to an alleged attack by TPLF on government forces in the region.

The TPLF was the dominant political force in Ethiopia’s multiethnic ruling coalition for decades, but quit after Abiy, a member of the Oromo ethnic group, took office two years ago and reorganised the coalition into a single party.

Countries in the region fear that the crisis could escalate into an all-out war under Abiy, who won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize for ending a decades-old conflict with neighbouring Eritrea but has had to contend with outbreaks of ethnic unrest.

Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September when Tigray held regional elections in defiance of the federal government, which called the vote “illegal”.

Sources said efforts were under way behind the scenes to encourage talks, pushed by the African Union. But the initiative was being resisted by authorities in Addis Ababa who insist they have to eliminate a threat posed by the TPLF.

Redwan Hussein, a spokesman for a newly established State of Emergency Task Force, told Reuters news agency on Wednesday that the option for talks was “not yet” on the table.

Hussein also told reporters the federal government’s conflict is with a “small clique of TPLF circles that are keen to destabilise Ethiopia” and the government must do everything possible to “liberate the Tigrayan people”.

One diplomat told Reuters that dozens of federal troops were killed during the first day of fighting. There was no word on casualties suffered by the TPLF.

NOVEMBER 6, 2020 ERITREA HUB ETHIOPIA, NEWS

 

The All Party Parliamentary Group for Eritrea has seen unconfirmed reports that people in Eritrean military uniform have been seen participating in the conflict in Tigray. This is extremely concerning, and we call for Eritrea to restrain from entering into conflict. Every effort must be taken to avoid the situation escalating into a regional conflict.

The APPG is extremely concerned by the growing hostilities in Tigray and calls on all sides to show restraint and work to de-escalate the situation. The future of Ethiopia and all its regions must be decided at the ballot box and not on the battlefield. Additionally, it is deeply concerning that people are being denied access to information by cutting telecommunications networks.

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For clarity, the APPG was referring to the BBC report which said: “Mr Abiy’s office also accused the TPLF of dressing its soldiers in uniforms resembling those of the army of neighbouring Eritrea to ‘implicate the Eritrean government in false claims of aggression against the people of Tigray'”.